Outright Bets for The Valspar Championship 2023

2023 is shaping up to be a garbage year for hitting long shots as Rahm or Scheffler have won 5 of 10 events in 2023 at 10/1 or shorter. Of the other 5 tournaments, me or Pat have hit 3 of the 5 (Si Woo live at Amex), but it still feels a little hopeless at times given how much better those guys are than everyone else. Good news though! Scottie & Rahm aren't at the Copperhead Innisbrook course for this year's Valspar Championship!

Vegas currently has the over/under winning score at -8.5 as the wind on Friday, Saturday and Sunday looks to be blowing in the 20mph range. Copperhead is already a difficult, highly variable, Florida course with it's tight fairways, bermuda rough, small greens, and water on 9 holes. Add in the wind factor...and this place can play very difficult. I'm looking for superior iron play, around the green prowess, sand save ability, and overall ability to avoid bogeys. Guys will have to find fairways here, so the bombers will club down and flushing the mid irons has proved to be key around Innisbrook.

I'm thinking this year's Valspar could be a solid opportunity to live bet some outrights as it's not likely anyone will be able to run away with it given the wind forecast. I'm also bullish on a mid to long shot winner this week as the top end of the field has some question marks. I don't LOVE the super bombs as much as I typically would here just given the field strength is somewhat weaker than in year's past. It just lacks depth.

More Intel on Copperhead Innisbrook

We're all quite familiar with Copperhead at Innisbrook, but in the event you'd like a little more insight into the golf course(s), the key stats to consider, and how the event has turned out in the past -- then we can't stress strongly enough why being a Nut Hut member is important. We provide all the research each week to save you countless hours and help you make informed decisions.

I also did this course breakdown video in 2022 that's still quite relevant today for understanding what it takes at Innisbrook.

Plus, we've got our 10+ year PGA TOUR caddie contributing every week in the Nut Hut , in John Rathouz. John will be in the Nut Hut weekly sharing insights on the courses, how they're playing and what he's hearing from ground zero that week.

If you're in the Nut Hut and you've not scrolled the #Caddie-Info channel this week...you're missing a TON of information. The chat tonight will cover everything from strategy in GPPs, cash games, betting, weather and tee time wave advantages, and of course picks & fades. If you'd like more detail on the weather and our thoughts, then check the Nut Hut and sign up for the Chalk Bomb email going out here in a few hours.