Betting Outrights for The Sony Open 2022
The Betting Approach for The Sony Open 2022
We're ready to bet the first full field event of the 2022 PGA TOUR season as the boys are at Waialae Country Club for the Sony Open. The field strength is somewhat weak without many top names present, but these weeks present the best opportunity for hitting a long shot outright.
The sportsbooks have the O/U winning score line set at -22.5. It appears to be another year (and week) of easy scoring conditions as the Hawaiian island winds are projected to do very little all week.
Waialae has proven to be a course that can produce winners of all types and varieties. In terms of anything useful in helping us predict a winning outcome, it comes down to iron play, putting on these grainy bermuda surfaces and birdie making! I am taking course history into consideration this week as Waialea has proven to reward those with ample experience. I'll also be giving a bump to guys that played the Sentry last week just because it's at least 1 event where we see what we've got and guys shake the rust off.
More Intel on Waialae Country Club
If you're looking for a more in depth look at how Waialae Country Club will play, then check out the our Weekly Preview write up by Nut Hut Butler, Anthony Charter (aka AC). We've also got a new secret weapon every week in the Nut Hut as we've added John Rathouz (aka CaddieHouse), 10+ year PGA TOUR Caddie. John will be in the Nut Hut every week sharing insights on the courses, how they're playing and what he's hearing from ground zero that week.
If you're in the Nut Hut and you've not scrolled the #Caddie-Info channel this week...you're missing out on a TON of information. The chat tonight will cover everything from strategy in GPPs, cash games, betting, weather and tee time wave advantages, and of course picks & fades. If you'd like more detail on the weather and our thoughts, then check the Nut Hut and sign up for the Chalk Bomb email going out here in a few hours.
This is NOT Your Mama's Betting Article
I bet on golf for fun. You should too. Life is too short to bet favorites! Therefore, I don't get the betting erection I crave betting guys at 18/1 or 9/1. I realize that may be the sharper way to do things, but F that. I've felt the rush of have a big triple digit winning golf bet hit...and Daddy likes!
Throughout the season, I'm going to show you my pre tournament bets, including what I'm risking, odds, and some brief logic behind the pick. I'm actually betting these guys. I'm taking $50 a week at $10 per unit to show you how I allot my dollars. Follow along, bet with me if you like, or completely fade everyone on this betting card. Up to you. I finished the 2019-2020 PGA Tour season up 10 units over 30 weeks & the 2020-2021 season up 41 units strictly betting the long shot outrights and first round leaders (nothing shorter than 25/1).
Long Shot Outright Bets for The Sony Open 2022
Damnit! We're off to a cold start with winners, but we're close. Down 40 units on the 2021-2022 PGA TOUR season. I talked Cam Smith up last week on the podcast, but didn't fit him in the tighter outright card. Sungjae and Cam Davis gave us 2 top 10s on the card, but those were the 2 bright spots.
This feels like one of those weeks where the bombs could cash us big so I want all the exposure. With Bryson dropping out, the top of the board pumps out very little implied odds to win relative to stronger fields seen on the PGA TOUR. I do love Cam Smith and Sungjae and such up top from DFS perspective, but I'll take my chances with middle of the board and the bombs! #LongShotSZN 2022 begins NOW with the Sony Open!