The RSM Classic DraftKings Plays & fades
Yoooooo what's up golf feens!? AC here offering you my thoughts on DraftKings plays & fades for The RSM Classic. Let's get you set to see some green screens on DraftKings.
Welp, Tony Finau withdrew on Tuesday afternoon which changed the landscape of this event big time. Finau was going to be heavily owned (maybe 40%) and now that chalk has been dumped on the rest of the upper tier. It's unfortunate but a chance for someone else to step up.
Big shout out to TJ's Crazy Marcus for his efforts on the new feature image at the top of the article! For more information on The RSM Classic, you can find my complete breakdown of the field, course, and key stats in the weekly preview.
Most of the information below can be found on Fantasy National Golf Club (FNGC). At FNGC you can view historic course conditions, course scoring breakdowns, tournament history, simulators, and official strokes gained data provided by the PGA Tour. Start building your models at Fantasy National now!
RSM Classic Top Tier DraftKings Plays & Fades
$9K & AboveÂ
- Play - Tom Hoge, Taylor Montgomery, Joel Dahmen | Fade - Brian Harman
Like I thought, Tony Finau is a WD from The RSM Classic. He claims it's due to an injury which sucks if true but fortunately for him, he's got a lot of time left before Hawaii. That makes things VERY interesting. A weak field just lost the headliner and a huge opportunity has opened up. The fade for me is just going to be Harman. He's projected over 30% and is likely the highest price he has ever been in DFS. He's also middle of the pack in scoring. I won't be surprised if he's near the top on Sunday but he has to be tippy-top to play.
Hoge was already of interest due to his position in my model but now seems like a must-play. Given his caddie is a local and Hoge's recent form (excuse Mayakoba), I'll have a piece. The approach game has been dialed and he's draining the putts. He's a lock for R1 showdown and FRL bets.
I think T Montgomery will be the first SIM (Sea Island Mafia) to win The RSM Classic. I bet it and I'm banking on it for DFS. Ownership can fuck off. Hoping his result from last week lowers the interest a bit cause, besides that, the rest has been really good. need a hot putter here and he's one of the hottest.
Ol Joel. This play is going to be on hold until Wednesday night in the Nut Hut when DB gets on the course info. The prospect is looking good. He's #2 in my model. A LOT of boxes are checked. His course history is pretty shit but he's playing much better than in previous years. Join us in the Nut Hut Wednesday night for some juicy inside details.
$8K Range
- Play - Mac Hughes, Patrick Rodgers | Fade - Webb Simpson
Hughes was the first bet I made this week and will be a lock for me. He's won here (2016) and finished runner-up last year. He also just won the Sanderson Farms a month ago and finished T16 last week. The short game is dialed in.
This play was either going to be Taylor Pendrith or P Rodgers. I'm still not really sure but it's hard to ignore Rodgers' form. Pendy also just became a dad recently and that could definitely go either way on the golf course. Rodgers leads the field in strokes gained total over the last six events. Like Hughes, he's also finished runner-up here and he's 10th in my model. Ownership looks nice too.
Webb is or maybe was a course horse. This was his bread and butter. Webb really isn't that Webb anymore. He's only cracked the top 15 once in the last year. Ya. YEAR. He was always a must-play for me before. Now he's a must-fade. Come back soon Webb.
Check out the Tour Junkies DFS Picks Show for all of DB's and Pat's early leans and weans!
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RSM Classic Bottom Tier DraftKings Plays & Fades
$7K Range
- Play - Will Gordon, Ben Griffin, Lee Hodges | Fade - David Lipsky
Give me all the Taco Supreme (Gordon). In every format. FRL, Showdown, main slate, weekend slate, tiers, flash drafts... What am I missing? It might not be pretty all the time but the boy knows how to score. Just needs the flat stick to behave. This will be his 10th made cut in a row and he's cracked the top 10 here before.
Griffin is a SIM as well and holds the course record at Plantation with a 59. He missed the cut here in 2019 on his first attempt so not gonna hold that against him. He's got three superb results in his last seven outings which includes a streak of five made cuts. Lots of birdies and not many three putts.
Hodges is 5th in my model over the last three months. Approach numbers are fire, scoring has been fire, and he's 4th in 400-450 yard Par 4 scoring. Some solid results recently and has two made cuts here.
I don't think Lipsky's short game can get him inside the top 20 this week. He played the RSM once, last year, and missed the cut. Model-wise, he's just not cutting it for me.
$6K Range
- Play - John Huh, Michael Thompson, Austin Cook
There hasn't been anything worth writing home about for Johnny ? since his runner-up finish at the Wyndham but he's found success here. He's coming into the week looking for back-to-back-to-back T12s at the RSM Classic. I'll take it. Huh has excelled at short, easy-scoring, and Par 70 tracks.
MT is a SIM member with 22 PGA Tour rounds on the Seaside course. He's been able to muster a T17 and T13 since 2015. Like Huh, MT's stats also take a turn for the better when things shorten up and scoring is plentiful.
I'm hoping Austin can Cook up another win as he did in 2017. He followed it up with a T11 the next year but missed the cut on the last two tries. Things are looking up though as he's reeled off back-to-back T27s. The stats look good. Irons have been hot and he hits fairways.