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Betting Long Shots for The Wyndham Championship 2021

The Betting Approach for The Wyndham Championship 2021

Back to back winning weeks puts this article up 56 UNITS for the 2020-2021 PGA TOUR season as we approach the final event of the regular season this week at the Wyndham Championship from Sedgefield CC. 

We had English, Burns and the eventual winner in Abe Ancer all on this card last week. #BOME.

If you're looking for a more in depth look at how Sedgefield CC will play, then check out the our Weekly Preview write up by Nut Hut Butler, Anthony Charter (aka AC). We've also got a new secret weapon every week in the Nut Hut as we've added John Rathouz (aka CaddieHouse), 10+ year PGA TOUR Caddie. John will be in the Nut Hut every week sharing insights on the courses, how they're playing and what he's hearing from ground zero that week.

If you're in the Nut Hut and you've not scrolled the #Caddie-Info channel this're missing out on a TON of information. The chat tonight will cover everything from strategy in GPPs, cash games, betting, weather and tee time wave advantages, and of course picks & fades. If you'd like more detail on the weather and our thoughts, then check the Nut Hut and sign up for the Chalk Bomb email going out here in a few hours.

This is NOT Your Mama's Betting Article

I bet on golf for fun. You should too. Life is too short to bet favorites! Therefore, I don't get the betting erection I crave betting guys at 18/1 or 9/1. I realize that may be the sharper way to do things, but F that. I've felt the rush of have a big triple digit winning golf bet hit...and Daddy likes!

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Throughout the season, I'm going to show you my pre tournament bets, including what I'm risking, odds, and some brief logic behind the pick. I'm actually betting these guys. I'm taking $50 a week at $10 per unit to show you how I allot my dollars. Follow along, bet with me if you like, or completely fade everyone on this betting card. Up to you. However...I will say...I hit 5 bets in 2019 at 100/1 or longer. I finished the 2019-2020 PGA Tour season up 10 units over 30 weeks strictly betting the long shots (nothing shorter than 25/1).


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Long Shot Outright Bets for The Wyndham Championship 2021

It looks to be rather overcast, hot and very little wind for the Wyndham Championship. The only real threat of wind or rain comes on Sunday, but a lot could change by then.

The sportsbooks have the winning score line around -20.5. It's been between -20 and -22 since the redesign and there's no reason it won't get there again.

This is a tournament filled with variance. 5 of the last 8 winners have been at triple digit odds, and one of the other three was at 80/1. This is also an event where 1st timers can get it done. Throw in all of that with the FedEx cup standings, PGA TOUR status rankings, etc...and you've got a lot of variables.

For this reason, I'm going to give myself plenty of outs on this card with nothing but mid range picks and bombs. Being nothing shorter than 25/1 goes on this card anyway...there just wasn't a lot that gets me going between 26/1 and my first bet in the mid range.

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Since the new 2020-2021 season started in September, we've hit 11 outright winners all over 25/1 and 3 first round leaders at 125/1 documented in this article or on Pat's "Not That Anyone Really Cares" betting card (posted on the Nut Hut and on Twitter). This article is now up 56 units since September. It ain't for betting favorites and it ain't for small balled bettors.

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I told ya it was a big card with 11 outrights, but I want a good bit of exposure due to the variance. I don't see any real edge on Thursday and therefore no need for a first round leader bet. Gooch, Lebioda, Schenk, Hubbard, & Norlander would be first time winners if they close the door this week. Dahmen and KH Lee have won in the last 2 months, and Villegas has won this tournament.

These guys are all arriving in solid form and most are either deadly accurate fairway finders or hit more fairways than Tour average. I think Dahmen, Norlander and KH Lee are the most mis-priced in my opinion and I'm happy to jump on these numbers as Joel was 100/1 on Monday and KH was 250/1.

It's #LongShotSZN for the Wyndham Championship! Let's grow our UNITS!

Outright Winner

Schwartzel 50/1 PointsBet $8

Streelman 50/1 PointsBet $8

Gooch 60/1 PointsBet $6

Lebioda 70/1 DraftKings $6

Dahmen 80/1 PointsBet $6

Schenk 100/1 PointsBet $4

Hubbard 130/1 DraftKings $3.5

Norlander 150/1 PointsBet $2.5

Hadwin 150/1 DraftKings $2.5

KH Lee 180/1 DraftKings $2

Villegas 250/1 PointsBet $1.5

First Round Leader