The PGA Tour heads to Las Vegas this week for the Shriners Hospitals for Children Open at TPC Summerlin. We’d encourage you to start your research for the week right here with the 10 Key Stats we find critical to handicapping the field whether betting or playing DFS.
TPC Summerlin is a resort style track par 71 playing around 7200 yards and featuring bentgrass green surfaces. The greens aren’t super difficult to hit or navigate in terms of slope. I disagree with Pat some on fairway finding off the tee being a requirement. If you didn’t need to find fairways at Winged Foot…you won’t need to find them here. I’m leaning distance, approach play and bentgrass putting prowess. Now, the course does sit at elevation with the ball flying about 5-7% farther according to our caddie friends. The three par 5s are all gettable by the field, but you better take advantage. Given the weather looks pretty benign, I think the winning score will be around -18 to -20.
1. Strokes gained tee to green from last year’s Shriners Hospital: 1. Finau 2. Cantlay 3. Hadley 4. Stuard 5. Dahmen 6. Matsuyama 7. Hadwin 8. Zhang 9. DeChambeau 10. Griffin
2. Historical GIR leaders at TPC Summerlin (min 8 rounds): 1. Cantlay 2. Cink 3. Kuchar 4. ZJ 5. Bryson 6. Hideki 7. Dahmen 8. Knox 9. Hadwin 10. Finau
3. Strokes gained putting leaders last 50 rounds on Bent that also rank in the top 100 in ball striking: 1. Na 2. English 3. Werenski 4. DeChambeau 5. Hadwin 6. Simpson 7. Harman 8. Jones 9. Smith 10. ZJ
4. If I make a custom model with courses that are 7200-7400 yards, bent greens, and easy scoring, your top 10 in total strokes gained are: 1. Werenski 2. Niemann 3. Fowler 4. Hahn 5. Finau 6. Cantlay 7. Day 8. Dahmen 9. ZJ 10. Ben An
5. If I make another model with JUST strokes gained ball striking on courses that are 720-7400 yards, short to average rough, and easy scoring your top 10 are: 1. Simpson 2. Watney 3. Ben An 4. HV3 5. Wise 6. Reavie 7. Hoffman 8. Finau 9. Piercy 10. Harman
6. Your top 10 in opps gained the last 12 rounds: 1. Redman 2. Reavie 3. Champ 4. HV3 5. Grillo 6. Si Woo 7. Dufner 8. Burns 9. Scheffler 10. Kokrak
7. Strokes gained on the par 5’s will be the most important at TPC Summerlin this week, so your top 10 in strokes gained on the par 5’s are: 1. Steelman 2. Finau 3. Davis 4. Cantlay 5. Morikawa 6. Palmer 7. Hoffman 8. Day 9. DeChambeau 10. Burns
8. Top 10 in GIR’s gained the last 12 rounds: 1. Im 2. Laird 3. ZJ 4. Grillo 5. NeSmith 6. Henley 7. Bradley 8. Wolff 9. McCumber 10. Zalatoris
9. The two highest approach shot distribution buckets this week are 125-150 & 200+, so your top 10 in proximity are: 1. Grillo 2. HV3 3. Steele 4. Fowler 5. Morikawa 6. Matsuyama 7. DeLaet 8. Armour 9. Hoge 10. Redman
10. Top 10 ‘values’ on DK compared to FanDuel pricing: 1. List 2. Si Woo 3. Norlander 4. Palmer 5. Streelman 6. Burns 7. Perez 8. NeSmith 9. Ventura 10. Hadley
