KPMG Womens PGA Championship 2022
Betting the LPGA KPMG WOMENS PGA Championship
Time for the third major of the year on the LPGA tour, the KPMG PGA Championship. With the now $9 Million purse (thanks Phil) the ladies this week will be competing for one of the largest payouts in tour history behind this year's USWO.
This week we are at the Congressional Country Club in Bethesda, Md. The Par 72 is going to play around 6,900 depending on set up. This course underwent a redesign in 2019. From tee to green literally nothing was left untouched, including the newly created 10th hole which in my opinion is absolutely stunning. One of the longest courses of the year so far couple that with the large bentgrass greens you're gonna want someone with distance off the tee and can hit those long irons and hybrids pretty well. Oh and probably a decent putter as well might be a few three puts this week. Anyways now taking that into consideration and doing my highly scientific quantitative analysis of this field breaking down the stats and building my models. I'm leaning towards whoever golfs their ball better than the field will have the best chance to win.
Ladies I'm Betting On
Brooke Henderson / 16/1 / $10200 - The Canadian has been searching for the same form that she started the season with after a few down months, she might have found it. The 2016 PGA Champion raised the trophy two weeks ago for the first time since the LA Open last year. She's shown a fondness for this event throughout the years.
Lexi Thompson / 16/1 / $10100 - I don't even know what to type at this point. She is always in contention, week in and week out but a hole here and there on a Sunday just kills her. This cycle will break at some point this year. IT HAS TO.
Atthaya Thitikul / 25/1 / $9900 - Thitikul will always be on this card if she is above 20/1. Top 10's in half her starts this year including her first LPGA win, she has all the talent in the world. Sooner than later she will lap the field and win her first major.
Madelene Sagstrom/ 50/1 / $8600 - Another article staple this season. She spoke about her MC at the USWO saying she wanted to win TOO much and was just firing at pins... can't do that there. The awareness of that makes me love the spot she's in, the game is still in a good place and she knows in her head what she has to do now. LOVE the play this week especially at 50/1
Patty Tavatanakit/ 55/1 / $7600 - This is a big number for a Patty, She hasn't played too hot the last two times out but that's just a blip on the radar of an otherwise consistent season. She might be 18439% owned on DK this week at this price but a pedigree player that missed the last cut on the number. I think this is chalk worth eating.
Allisen Corpuz / 75/1 / $7700 - Corpuz has been playing some fantastic golf this year, top 30's in all of her made cuts with progressively better finishes resulting in an 11th place finish week. Does she have as much upside to win a major as some of the names around her? Probably not but at this price and the consistent top 20's she's a decent play.
Sarah Schmelzel / 150/1 / $7200 - Similiar form to Corpuz but with a 3rd place finish already on the season. I do wish her iron play was a bit better but if she is putting up the results without it lets hope for a week where they click and watch her name shoot up the leader board.
Isi Gabsa / 500/1 / $6400 - YOLO. That is all.
PGA / LPGA Unadvisable Doubles
Lexi x Cantlay - 220/1
Lexi x Wise - 866/1
Henderson x Cantlay - 220/1
Henderson x Wise - 866/1
Sagstrom x Cantlay - 662/1
Sagstrom x Wise - 2600/1
How We Did Last Week
NO article last week because of US Open and I don't want to acknowledge how bad the USWO picks were