The Power Fade: 2023 RSM Classic
The Approach to fading big names for the 2023 RSM Classic
What’s going on TJ Nation! Ann Arbor's Own Good Ol' AK Allen Klutts here bringing you another edition of the Power Fade: The Fades 8K and Above You Need to Smash Your DraftKings GPP's!
With a trip to Bermuda in the books and Camillo Villegas's return to the winners circle after a nine year drought complete, we are off to beautiful Sea Island, GA for the final event of the 2023 calender year.
With Tour Cards up for grabs this week, a stronger field than what we have seen over the last few weeks is upon us.
We also see the return of a two course rotation this week. Players will alternate between the Seaside Course (Par 70 playing 7,005 yards) and the Plantation Course (Par 72 playing 7,060 yards). Adam Svensson will look to defend his maiden PGA TOUR victory, where scoring should once again be close to -20.
With the calender year coming to a close on the PGA TOUR, let's take a look at who we should be fading for our DraftKings PGA DFS lineups. For the last time in 2023, Bring on the Power Fades!
Brian Harman ($10,300)
Our first Power Fade of the week is a major champion, and a member of the Sea Island Mafia. Ol' Cockbite himself Brian Harman makes his Power Fade debut this week at $10,300.
Why The Fade Works:
Harman is a class name in this field but by the statistics not necessarily a class play. Harman has been struggling off the tee of late, ranking 105th Strokes Gained Off The Tee, paired with a 46th in Good Drives Gained. Further compounding his issues, Harman ranks 93rd in Greens In Regulation this week. At an event where hitting GIR's is key to success, paying 10.3K on DraftKings for Harman is too much capital to invest on someone who has a mixed bag of results at this event.
Harman is a putting machine, we all know this to be true. The RSM Classic should be a natural fit for Harman where ball striking and putting should win the day. Ownership is also going to reflect this as well. Early projections have Harman topping out around 15-16%. With Ludvig Aberg just $600 more, you could pay up for the class of the field and move on to many of the options in the 7K range who present great value. Cameron Young, $300 cheaper is also projecting to be 1/4 the ownership of Harman, and has just as much upside.
Simple math here folks, Fade Harman and pivot up the board in the slim 10K range this week on DraftKings.
Adam Svensson ($8,600)
Our second Power Fade of the week is our defending champion. Adam Svensson at $8,600 presents a great opportunity to fade ownership and gain leverage on the field. While Svensson has better form than when he won last year, the stats point to some potential struggles for the Canadian.
Why The Fade Works:
One glaring stat on Svensson this week is his Greens in Regulation. Ranking 113th in the field for Greens In Regulation, this puts so much pressure on his putter in a shootout environment. Svennson was able to accomplish this last year, however I'd be willing to take the gamble that he cannot do this again.
Svensson also struggles around the green compared to the field. Ranking 50th in Strokes Gained Around the Green, Svennson has the high variance that lends itself to justifying a full fade.
That's it folks for this week's edition of the Power Fade. We will be returning to you in 2024 for the new PGA TOUR season!
I wish you all a safe and happy holiday season!
Until then Be Bold, Be Brave, and Let's Ride the Power Fade!
"With Ludvig Aberg just $600 more, you could pay up for the class of the field and move on to many of the options in the 7K range who present great value. Cameron Young, $300 cheaper is also projecting to be 1/4 the ownership of Harman, and has just as much upside."
Meet the Author:
A long time Tour Junkies fan and Nut Hut Member, Allen has always been an enthusiastic PGA DFS player and is looking to bring that passion to his writing. A frequent participant on the Wednesday Night Live Stage Chat, who DB once compared to Norm from the TV show "Cheers" for always kicking off the live stage segment, Allen lives in Ann Arbor, Michigan with his wife and two year old son.
Disclaimer: The views, opinions, and commentary in this post belong to its author and do not necessarily represent the Tour Junkies as a whole.