Betting Long Shots for the Wells Fargo Championship 2021
The Betting Approach for the Wells Fargo Championship 2021
The Green Mile is upon us as the PGA TOUR heads to Quail Hollow for the Wells Fargo Championship 2021. I'm making this a short write up as I sit here with COVID and I'm tired. However, you should know that I've had plenty of time to research and overthink the hell out of this week. So, don't let my shortened write up lead you to believe I'm not studied up.
If you're looking for a more in depth look at how Copperhead will play, then check out our Weekly Preview write up by Nut Hut Butler, Anthony Charter (aka AC). We've also got a new secret weapon every week in the Nut Hut as we've added John Rathouz (aka CaddieHouse), 10+ year PGA TOUR Caddie. John will be in the Nut Hut every week sharing insights on the courses, how they're playing and what he's hearing from ground zero that week.
This is NOT Your Mama's Betting Article
I bet on golf for fun. You should too. Life is too short to bet favorites! Therefore, I don't get the betting erection I crave betting guys at 18/1 or 9/1. I realize that may be the sharper way to do things, but F that. I've felt the rush of have a big triple digit winning golf bet hit...and Daddy likes!
Throughout the season, I'm going to show you my pre tournament bets, including what I'm risking, odds, and some brief logic behind the pick. I'm actually betting these guys. I'm taking $50 a week at $10 per unit to show you how I allot my dollars. Follow along, bet with me if you like, or completely fade everyone on this betting card. Up to you. However...I will say...I hit 5 bets in 2019 at 100/1 or longer. I finished the 2019-2020 PGA Tour season up 10 units over 30 weeks strictly betting the long shots (nothing shorter than 25/1).
Pay Attention!
Every week, I'll publish this with Outright bets that I'm watching closely on Tuesday. Then, late on Wednesday afternoons, I'll finalize the Outrights and First Round Leader selections for the $50 card. You can read up on Tuesday to get a sense for who I'm eyeballing, and then Wednesday to see who didn't quite make the cut for me when it came time to finalize the card.
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Long Shot Outright Bets for the Wells Fargo Championship 2021
Similar to last week, I'm not hitting the triple digits in the outright numbers. Given the strength of this field and the quality and test of Quail Hollow, I'm going to live in the middle on the betting card. The triple digit bombs I considered would likely be better in DFS or Top 20 bets.
Last week was such a disappointment as we had Keegan, Homa, & Tringale all on the card...Ugh I was gutted. But, I do like Sam Burns and he's easy to cheer for.
Since the new 2020-2021 season started in September, we've hit 9 outright winners all over 25/1 and 1 first round leader at 100/1 documented in this article or on Pat's "Not That Anyone Really Cares" betting card. This article, alone, is now up 7 units since September. It ain't for betting favorites and it ain't for small balled bettors.
Outright Winner
T. Finau 28/1 PointsBet $10
C. Conners 33/1 PointsBet $10
J. Niemann 33/1 PointsBet $10
M. Homa 35/1 DraftKings $10
K. Bradley 70/1 PointsBet $5
M. Wallace 80/1 PointsBet $5