Betting Long Shots for The Travelers Championship 2021

Damnit I'm on a cold streak and it's pissing me the hell off! But what the hell is a boy to do when the 8/1 favorite, a barely legal drinking age South African, and damn 51 year old Phil win over the last few weeks. FML.

Somewhat tighter card for me than last week with 2 shorter numbers (by my standards) and more triple digit bombs than most people are comfortable with. This event has been won by the shorter to mid range numbers over the last 5 years or so. But we know this event has the potential to produce long shots and first time PGA TOUR winners.

Since the new 2020-2021 season started in September, we've hit 9 outright winners all over 25/1 and 2 first round leaders at 125/1 documented in this article or on Pat's "Not That Anyone Really Cares" betting card (posted on the Nut Hut and on Twitter). This article is now down 23 units since September. It ain't for betting favorites and it ain't for small balled bettors.

I don't have a history of getting Scottie Scheffler right, but here we are. Scottie's coming off a solid US Open week, and he's been a top 10 machine since getting the PGA TOUR. It just feels like this kid's a giant white head pimple waiting to splooge his first PGA TOUR win juice all over us.

• T7, T3 & T8 in recent starts
• SG: Approach #'s have been off the charts great
• Gained almost 9 strokes putting on the POA greens last week

If you don't think this place is perfect for Abe Ancer to finally get his 1st PGA TOUR victory, then you'd buy blinker fluid. Abe is ready and this place fits him like blow up Hunter Biden's nose.

• 3 Top 10s in last 5 starts
• T8 here in 2019. T11 here last year, but not quite the same given the COVID restart
• Still gained over 5 strokes on approach while missing the cut at the USO

Keegan Bradley is wicked good at striking small, white balls. We haven't seen him since a MC at Memorial, but rested...not traveling the US like some of these guys, and overall form being wicked amazing!

• He's played here every year since 2012 w/ 1 MC's, a runner up in 2019 and T8 in 2017
• Top titties at SG: Approach all season
• Gained strokes putting at TPC River Highlands in 5 of 9 attempts
• Don't look now...he's gained strokes putting in 6 of last 8 tournaments

I'm buying the Fowler comeback. His form is showing. He's got upcoming baby swag. I'm ready to buy at 70/1. The text we got from his coach and our friend John Tillery a few weeks back..."We coming."

• 17.2 SG: Total gained in his last 2 events
• Gained 8.3 SG: Putting in his last 2 events. The last time he did that in 2 consecutive events was August of 2019.
• Rested and motivated after watching the US Open from his couch.

Emiliano Grillo's girlfriend is sooooooo disproportionately hot compared to him that it's damn near criminal. It's as disproportionate as the goodness of his ball striking to the shittyness of his putting.

• T8, T2, and T6 since late March. The T2 at Heritage...similar style (Dye design)
• Gained strokes putting in 4 of last 6 events. Last time that happened for him...August 2018
• 1st in SG: Approach in the last 24, 12, and 8 rounds

Now the long shot quick hitters...Guido is a FOMO bet. Kid's got swagger, a big nose, and leads the TOUR in # of fist pumps despite only playing in 1 event. I love Mav McNealy's chops...the kid is ready to close the door. His balls have dropped and now he's ready to use what God gave him. Also, his irons are trending nicely, he putts great on Poa and Bent, and he landed a T4 at the Heritage a few weeks back. The Chezticle is a former champ here was T40 at the USO and T14 prior at Palmetto. His best putting surfaces are Bent and Poa. He's a PGA TOUR veteran with his sole victory being here at TPC River Highlands. Patrick Rodgers just feels like one of those weirdo names that could win this season to fit right in with Phil winning the PGA and Cink winning twice. He's a shitty putter, but gains strokes on Poa. He's got a very solid record at the Travelers, including a T3 in 2016.