Outright Bets for The Open Championship 2022
The Betting Approach for The Open Championship 2022
We came close to hitting 3 weeks in a row as Schmid (Shaving Cream Championship) and Spieth & J. Smith all had chances to win entering Sunday and couldn't close the door. Oh well...It's time to crown the CHAMPION GOLFER OF THE YEAR!
The sportsbooks have the O/U winning score at -16.5 -- which sucks. We'd love to see the Scottish winds blow as they did when we were fortunate enough to play The Old Course just a few weeks ago, but it doesn't look like that's going to happen. The only redeeming news is that the course is firm, dry and fast. There's been much to do about how The Old Course can hold up against the modern game. Folks are talking about how many of the shorter par 4's players will be driving.Â
Rory confirmed our sentiment today in his presser when he essentially said that he'll be laying back on a number of the short par 4s so they have a full wedge in rather than a weird 60 yard chip, putt, or whatever. Even with very little wind, St Andrews will NOT be overpowered. It's still out there and available for all player types to conquer. The one thing you MUST have in your arsenal of weaponry is touch...finesse...feel...and creativity. I'm staying completely away from guys that lack the short game finesse necessary.
More Intel on The Old Course
If you're looking for a more in depth look at how The Old Course will play, then check out the our Weekly Preview write up by Nut Hut Butler, Anthony Charter (aka AC).
We've also got a secret weapon every week in the Nut Hut as we've added John Rathouz (aka CaddieHouse), 10+ year PGA TOUR Caddie. John will be in the Nut Hut every week sharing insights on the courses, how they're playing and what he's hearing from ground zero that week.
If you're in the Nut Hut and you've not scrolled the #Caddie-Info channel this week...you're missing out on a TON of information. The chat tonight will cover everything from strategy in GPPs, cash games, betting, weather and tee time wave advantages, and of course picks & fades. If you'd like more detail on the weather and our thoughts, then check the Nut Hut and sign up for the Chalk Bomb email going out here in a few hours.
This is NOT Your Mama's Betting Article
I bet on golf for fun. You should too. Life is too short to bet favorites! Therefore, I don't get the betting erection I crave betting guys at 18/1 or 9/1. I realize that may be the sharper way to do things, but F that. I've felt the rush of have a big triple digit winning golf bet hit...and Daddy likes!
Throughout the season, I'm going to show you my pre tournament bets, including what I'm risking, odds, and some brief logic behind the pick. I'm actually betting these guys. I'm taking $50 a week at $10 per unit to show you how I allot my dollars. Follow along, bet with me if you like, or completely fade everyone on this betting card. Up to you. I finished the 2019-2020 PGA Tour season up 10 units over 30 weeks & the 2020-2021 season up 41 units strictly betting the long shot outrights and first round leaders (nothing shorter than 25/1).
Long Shot Outright Bets for The Open Championship 2022
After narrowly missing a winner on both cards last week, we're now up 17 units on the PGA TOUR season strictly betting outrights at 25/1 or longer.
I've actually surprised myself with the number of triple digit bombs finding their way on my card, but I'm ok with it. They don't call it the "BIG BALLS" card for nothing...and by "they", I mean just me. Anyway, I'm using 5 units to win around 30 to 39 units with a winner.
I hate that Spieth didn't make it to 25/1, or he would've been on the card. Therefore, short game Gawd, Cam Smith, rides with the likes of Patrick Reed. Every player with the exception of Reed and Finau arrive to St Andrews having played nicely at The Scottish Open. 7 Open Champions since 2010 played the Scottish Open the week before to get accustomed to the Scottish links style and find peak form leading up The Open.
Woodland and Mitchell certainly win the prize for the worst short game of the bunch, but Keith's is trending and Woodland actually finished 12th in the field in SG: Putting at The Scottish last week.
Mitchell, Reed and Niemann are my favorite values on the entire board. I just feel like any of those 3 have the stones to close the door on the field late on Sunday if they're in contention with their best stuff.
C Bez and Jordan Smith are certainly the unlikely heros of the card as neither have won on the PGA TOUR, nor do they have an extensive Major Championship record. However, both arrive in hot form, and not just from last week at The Scottish. They do things differently as Smith is a power player and C Bez is a precision player with a strong short game.
Alright, off to write the Chalk Bomb! Have a great week and #BendOverYourBookie!