Farmers Insurance Open 2021 | PGA Tour

Once again we have two courses in rotation this week with distinct differences. North and South. The North course will be played once per player during the first two rounds with three of the four rounds being played at the South course. Both courses play as par 72s but have much different lengths. The North course plays around 7,200 yards and features bentgrass greens with the South playing almost 500 yards longer at 7,700 and has poana greens.

With any coastal course the weather is going to play a big factor and at this point Thursday and Friday will need to be monitored. I have a lean right now at playing an AM/PM stack with guys on the South Course Thursday and having the bentgrass North course during the PM wave on Friday. For Showdown and first round leader bets, AM stack teeing off on the North Course Thursday and then the PM wave on the North course Friday.

With the history of events at Torrey Pines it is easy to find the stats that correlate best to Draftkings scoring. Last year Leishman hit the least amount of fairways but showed a hot putter is all you need. Most of his drives were so bad they ended up laying nice and fluffy on a bunch of trampled down thick rough. That won’t be the case this year with no fans so the guys better hit some fairways this week.

With the course being so long, driving distance is important but accuracy off the tee is even more so. SG: OTT will give you a good look at the best of both worlds. Ball-striking and approach, like every week, are two key stats and a healthy dose of tee to green will combine everything nicely. My model also has a decent percentage of fairways gained and greens in regulation. Getting more specific, take a look at 450-500 yard par 4 scoring and long par 5s between 550-600 yards.