WGC Workday 2021
We're going to look at 2 extremely popular names across DFS contests and why you could justify staying away. More importantly, I'm going to tell you about 2 other players with as much upside at significantly less projected ownership. Ownership leverage and equal or greater upside from the players we're pivoting away from is the name of the game every week for the Pivot Point article.
Viktor Hovland (18%) / Brooks Koepka (12%)
Viktor Hovland $9,400 18% - BDV was in the Pivot Point write up last week and I recommended pivoting off of him to Max Homa. While Homa was definitely the right play, Hovland didn’t disappoint either finishing 5th. Since his win at Mayakoba in early December, Hovland is 4th in the field in ball striking. His ball striking is the big reason for the current run he’s on that includes a win and two other top 5’s in 4 events. Hovland is usually at a disadvantage without much course history but that won’t be a factor this week with the tour making its debut at Concession.
Brooks Koepka $9500 12% - Florida ✅ Bikinis ✅ Bermuda ✅ world class field ✅ big money ✅…...Ya get my point?
Why Pivot? I am not buying Vik’s price this week….I know the field is small but it’s still stronger than last week, yet we still see a $600 dollar increase in Hovland’s price. His ownership is going to be high again and he is going to need at least a top 10 finish to pay it off. Vic has been on a great run but now travels back to the east coast and finds some bermuda grass that he just straight sucks on. In the last year, Hovland ranks 55th in the field in putting on bermuda. He won’t make enough putts or get up and down enough for a top 10 this week. There are plenty of decent pivot’s around Hovland but I like Brooks the best. We get Brooks at a $300 dollar decrease in price from last week. Brooks is coming off a win at Waste Management a couple weeks ago and is coming back to the sunshine state where he is going to be very comfortable. Brooks also has a great WGC history with a win at St. Jude. The guy loves big time events. Easiest pivot of the week.
Abe Ancer (18%) / Rasmus Hajgaard (2%)
Abraham Ancer $6900 18% - [ Please insert good things here... ]
Rasmus Hojgaard $6700 2% - Bring on the 19 year old Dane! I pay very little attention to The European Tour except for the events that bring the world’s best together. Seems like everytime I find myself looking at a European Tour leaderboard, I see Hojgaard sitting somewhere near the top…..He’s in great form with a 25th, 9th, and 6th place finish to start the year across the pond, and all three of those events were headlined with some of the top players in the world. During that time he was 16th in GIR with an average of 72% hit rate, and 14th in putts per GIR. In 2020, he finished 10th on European tour in driving distance with an average of 320 yards. I believe Hojgaard has a promising future and will be a huge villain for Americans in future Ryder Cups.
Why Pivot?: There is no doubt that the most popular build this week will be studs and duds...Everyone and their mother will be looking to fill a spot in the 6k range, and who makes you feel more safe than Honest Abe at $6900….I’m not buying the ownership. Ancer has a decent record at recent WGC events but overall loses strokes against the field on difficult courses. He struggles around the greens and his worst surface is bermuda. With a no cut event, it is time to take a risk and gamble and I will do that with Hojgaard.
Written by: Tim Gaymon (TH803)