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Quail-Hollow

The Fantasy Golf Sommelier – Wells Fargo Championship

Welp. The Zurich Classic has come and gone, but I need to revisit the FGS for the RBC Heritage for a moment. My goodness my picks sucked. Let me tell you about how bad they were. Not ONE SINGLE player I picked in the article made the cut. I mean seriously, not one, nada, zero, zilch, nobody. It was awful. The one silver lining was that Bryson Dechambeau was my fade and he missed the cut so at least there’s that, which is nice. Now, you may ask why I want to torture myself revisiting such a horrendous week. Well, I’ll tell you. I think there’s so much more to learn in the bad weeks than there is in the good. It’s just as much as part of the process as when you absolutely kill it. It’s important to go back after bad weeks and see what went wrong. Did you pay attention to ownership projections on sites like Fanshare Sports and FantasyNational.com. Were the key stats you liked way off? Could you have chosen different contests to play in that week. It could be a myriad of reasons but it’s an absolute must to go back and examine those, perhaps take notes, and then move on to hopefully take what you’ve learned and when all the monies the next week.

The awful week also got me thinking about bad wine, and I don’t mean like some shitty gas station wine, I’m talking when wine actually goes bad. I’ve often wondered how that even happens and what the circumstances were behind it. Kind of like what I’m talking about above with reexamining your DFS week to avoid bad results in the future. First off if you’ve ever wondered, bad wine basically has a vinegar like smell and taste. Typically wine goes bad because it’s just been left out to long after opening the bottle (This is not a problem in my house). If you’re going to open a good bottle of wine you better damn well make sure you’re going to drink it. A wasted bottle is a sad sight. I would say on an average, both white and reds can last an average of 3-5 days after opening. After that, you might as well just toss it and kick yourself for being a wasteful human being. Outside of just leaving it out too long, the storage of your wine is also key to keep it from spoiling. We can’t all have wine cellars or those fancy wine cooler deals so my rule of thumb is just to make sure it’s stored in as cool a place in the house as possible and out of the sunlight. You really don’t want your wine stored much over 70 degrees as anything above that tends to age it more quickly than just the normal course of aging that’s ideal. 55 degrees is often quoted as ideal, but obviously that’s pretty difficult to get to unless you have the aforementioned cellar or wine cooler so just try and get it as much under 70 as you can. With that said, we can now all just move on from the terrible weeks and bad wine, as we’ve learned from our past thru careful consideration of our mistakes and knowledge brought to you by the one and only, Fantasy Golf Sommelier. I’m happy to be at your service and cheers to a great week at Quail Hollow! Bome.

Now, on to the Wells Fargo Championship plays of the week. As always, we are going to use the classic Wine Spectator 100 point scale for the picks (think of it like a confidence factor):

  • 95-100 Classic: a great wine
  • 90-94 Outstanding: a wine of superior character and style
  • 85-89 Very good: a wine with special qualities
  • 80-84 Good: a solid well-made wine
  • 75-79 Mediocre: a drinkable wine that may have minor flaws
  • 50-74 Not recommended (or a very shitty wine)

So, here we go, let’s sashay on down into the sommeliers’ cellar of fine golf selections for the week…

Justin Rose – $10,300 – 96 Points – The on again off again top player in the world (now #2) is back this week after taking a couple weeks off following a disappointing missed cut at the Masters. We have also seen Justin’s ownership levels take a dip the last few tournaments including the Masters where he was surprisingly low owned in the larger GPP’s on DraftKings. If that trend continues I will glad take advantage of Rose’s lower ownership with his upside this week. Quail Hollow should represent a great opportunity also for Justin to have a good week as has typically performed well here in the past (3rd in 2016, 5th in 2014) and is checking boxes for me in Strokes Gained off the Tee, Strokes Gained Approach, and Scrambling.

Tony Finau – $9,300 – 91 Points – I’ve been a little reluctant to play Tony in several of the better field events like this but to be honest it hasn’t been for any particular reason other than I’ve just liked guys priced around him more. This week though I like his price at $9,300 and think he’s an excellent tournament play on DraftKings. Finau was right there to do something special at the Masters, but fell just short (T5) after a disastrous water ball on 12. He continues to be in excellent form though and I don’t expect that to end this week at Quail Hollow where Tony hasn’t missed a cut dating back to 2015. Finau is always fantastic off the tee (6th in the field), and is also top five in par 5 scoring which has typically been a key stat the winners and top finishers at Quail have fared well in over the years.

Pop the Cork on him and Let it Breathe This is the guy we didn’t mention on the pod but after further review, popped later in the week and is a sneaky good, possibly low owned play.

Aaron Wise $8,100- 90 Points – The 2018 PGA Tour rookie of the year fared well at Quail Hollow last year finishing tied for 2nd in his maiden voyage around the track. I like his form coming off a solid 17th place finish in Augusta where he gained over 6 strokes on the field. Aaron does a lot of his damage with the driver and ranks top 10 in the field in Strokes Gained off the Tee so if he can keep that going and putt well I like Wise as a low owned GPP option this week.

The $10 Wine Special – Priced like a Sutter Home, plays like a Caymus!

Sam Burns – $7,200 – 89 Points – I’m a huge fan of Sam Burns this week for tournament lineups as he has been in terrific form lately which includes 5 straight cuts made including a top 12 finish at Puntacana and a solo 9th at the RBC Heritage a couple weeks ago. He will never wow you with his stats but the consistent play combined with plenty of length off the tee and his record this year scoring on Par 5’s has me all in on Sam as a core option in my GPP lineups.

Hank Lebioda – $6,800 – 86 Points – The proclaimed “people’s champion” (perhaps self proclaimed but that’s neither here nor there) partnered with Curtis Luck on a last minute exemption to notch his highest place finish on tour with a T5 last week at the Zurich. I think that bodes well for his confidence and Hank also has a Great Fantastic game for Quail Hollow. Hank is plenty long off the tee but also boasts solid ball striking and one of the best short games right now on tour. Throw in checking the box in par 5 scoring (top 20 in the field) and I think Lebioda is another solid option for your tournament lineups.

Boone’s Farm Vintage Fade of the Week – Boone’s Farm is basically convenience store wine we drank in college and possibly could kill you (not really, but it’s gross).

Webb Simpson – $9,700 – 78 Points – But he’s a resident at Quail Hollow! He’s a perfect fit for the course! All his friends will be there cheering him on! Blah blah blah. I’ve heard it all before. Look, I love Webb and think he’s a fantastic player but I just never can quite buy into the “local guy” narrative. As a matter of fact, sometimes that actually just screams auto fade for me. Webb has had mixed results in the past at Quail with at T2 in 2015 (before it was lengthened in 2016), but also has a missed cut and nothing better than last years T21 within the last 5 years. As I’ve mentioned you have to at least have a little length off the tee on this beast of a course and Webb ranks near the bottom of the field in Strokes Gained off the Tee. He’s also outside of the top 50 in Par 5 scoring and Good Drives Gained which is a stat on FantasyNational. The form is there, but I just don’t think Webb will exceed value with his lofty price tag on DraftKings this week.

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GPP

Guaranteed Prize Pool. A contest that will pay out the specified prize even if it does not have the targeted number of entrants. These generally contain the largest prize pools but only pay the top 10-25% of the field.