Greetings fellow PGA DFS golf enthusiast and welcome back to this week’s edition of the Fantasy Golf Sommelier for this years first major the PGA Championship. I cannot wait to see TPC Harding Park this week as it should be a tremendous test for these boys and it looks to be just a fantastic golf course. I think you will see, just like a fine wine that’s noticeably different than the two-buck chuck from Trader Joe’s, the cream is definitely going to rise to the top in this tournament. Yes I do know we’ve seen some crazy winners here but with this field as stacked as it is and so many of the great and top players in good form, I’m not going to get to crazy and cute this week with my lineups. I love this region of the world also. I took a trip out to San Francisco and Napa Valley about 5 years ago and it was well beyond my expectations. Side note, my wife, however, was not a fan of San Fran. Those steep hills scared the crap out of her to where there were times when she would shimmy down the sidewalks on her ass like it was a black diamond ski slope or something. Anyway, I loved it, especially just across the bay in the town of Sausalito which is just little gem of a spot that is probably often overlooked. If you ever want to take a trip to the Bay Area you have to go there as well.
Transitioning over to wine though, Napa was about everything you could have imagined, perfect weather, beautiful scenery, great food, and unbelievable wine every where you go. After visiting several wineries, you really start to appreciate wine and wine making more also. It’s a deeply complex process that takes time and “tinkering” to get just right to where you have an excellent finished product. Sounds familiar right? All of those ideas and concepts apply to PGA DFS as well and are one of the reasons I initially came up with the idea for the Fantasy Golf Sommelier. I know I harp on this a lot, but it’s because it’s important whether we’re talking PGA DFS or wine and needs to be ingrained in your heads! There’s just no one way to get those green screens and be profitable. It’s about the process, tinkering with new ideas and methods (just don’t do that right before lineup lock), tweaking things constantly, until you finally have it down to where you can be proud of the product and hopefully the results to back it up. I think some times it’s easy to forget that part of the fun of what we do week in and week out playing PGA DFS is just everything leading up to the start of the tournament. Listening to your favorite podcast (hopefully TJ), checking twitter, watching interviews, deep diving into the stats on Fantasy National, and then you get the point where you finalize that player pool and just let her rip. Of course you hope to have green screens in the end but you still have to stop and just appreciate the work put in to getting there. It’s the same with wine. I’m as guilty of just downing wine and not even paying attention to all the flavors and senses that you get from a single sip. That’s the equivalent of having zero method in setting your golf lineups and basically cowboying it up every week. So I encourage you to do that next time you crack open a good bottle of vino. Enjoy every drop and appreciate it for the time, process, and effort that went into making it. Don’t go into it thinking you have to know everything by the way, in the end, just like DFS, it’s all just right there in front of you to make your own judgment call using the best info you can. That being said, why can’t this shit be really easy and we all make money every single week? Oh well, C’est La Vie, let’s fucking kill it this week for the PGA so we can all spend a stupid amount of money on a bottle of wine we’re probably gonna end up just chugging anyway.
Alright! That’s all I got for this week. Let’s dive in to the PGA Championship plays of the week. As always, we are going to use the classic Wine Spectator 100 point scale for the picks (think of it like a confidence factor):
- 95-100 Classic: a great wine
- 90-94 Outstanding: a wine of superior character and style
- 85-89 Very good: a wine with special qualities
- 80-84 Good: a solid well-made wine
- 75-79 Mediocre: a drinkable wine that may have minor flaws
- 50-74 Not recommended (or a very shitty wine)
So, here we go, let’s wander on down into the Sommeliers’ cellar of fine golf plays for the week…
Jon Rahm – $10,500 – 95 Points – Rahm is coming off a disappointing one week stint as number one in the world with a T52 finish following his win at The Memorial, but I’m throwing that out the window this week as I still think he’s primed to win his first major. The spaniard is literally checking almost every stat box I love this week ranking 5th in Strokes Gained off the Tee, 21st in Driving Distance, 39th in Par 4 scoring from 450-500 yards, and also traditionally putts very well on bentgrass greens. Rahm has also been pretty accurate off the tee lately as well ranking 32nd in the field in Fairways Gained. I’m also seeing Rahm projected to be about 12-15% owned this week in DraftKings tournaments so you’re even getting a little leverage at the top here with him as well.
Patrick Cantlay- $9,400 – 94 Points – Mr. Cantlay hasn’t been all that exciting lately with ho hum performances last week at the WGC and before that at the Memorial, but he did finish 7th and the Workday and 11th at the Travelers so he’s still definitely in good enough form to win here which is exactly what we’d love to get with his price tag at $9400. I do think he will garner pretty high ownership (currently projected about 20-22% owned in tournaments), but I’m willing to eat that chalk this week on a guy I truly believe can win. I also love the fact that bentgrass greens are by far Patrick’s best surface, and he certainly has the distance and incredible approach game to attack Harding Park. I think scoring will be pretty hard to come by, but birdies and eagles are still the name of the game on DraftKings and if anyone can score on a difficult course setup it’s definitely Mr. Cantlay this week.
Pop the Cork on him and Let it Breathe – This is the guy we didn’t mention on the pod but after further review, popped later in the week and is a sneaky good, possibly low owned play.
Rickie Fowler $8,300 – 90 Points – I’m going back to back with Rickie as the Pop the Cork play of the week as we didn’t mention him again on the pod, but I think he’s got a great chance to contend and return a ton of value based on price in your DraftKings tournament lineups. We’ve seen Rickie play very well in 3 of his last 4 starts with a T15 last week at the WGC, a 22nd at the Workday, and a 12th at the Rocket Mortgage. Fowler has also consistently improved with his ball striking over the last few weeks and is 21st in Strokes Gained off the Tee, and 6th in Par 4 scoring from 450-500 yards over his last 24 rounds. If you read this last week and didn’t pop the cork on him you were probably disappointed so let’s rack it up again and enjoy some green screens together courtesy of Rickie!
The $10 Wine Special – Priced like a Sutter Home, plays like a Caymus!
Harris English – $7,200 – 88 Points – We’re seeing a lot of talk about Harris this week and he’s definitely gonna be a high owned play, but he’s another guy that I think you just eat the chalk on and play this week in your DraftKings tourney lineups at Harding Park. Harris is another guy like Rahm that pretty much just checks every box when you include Ball Striking, Ball Striking, Strokes Gained Approach, and Par 4 scoring from 450-500 yards. He’s also been very consistent this year with two straight finishes inside the top 20. I’m honestly shocked also that he’s projected around 6% owned so I think Harris is a full go this week for your tournament lineups.
Brendan Steele – $6,900 – 86 Points – Steele may have one of the ugliest swings on tour (yes I’m well aware I’m the least qualified person to call someone’s swing ugly, so just humor me here) but the fact of the matter is he’s playing incredibly well right now making 4 straight cuts since the restart with two top 15 finishes during that timeframe. He’s not a flashy player but is surprisingly long off the tee (30th in the field in Driving Distance) and also checks the box in Ball Striking, Approach, Par 4 scoring from 450-500 yards AND is 12th in the field in a little sneaky stat I like, Proximity from 175-200 yards out. As you would expect he will also be less than 4% owned so if you’re looking for some major leverage to win that Milly this week on DraftKings I think Steele is your guy in this range.
Boone’s Farm Vintage Fade of the Week – Boone’s Farm is basically convenience store wine we drank in college and possibly could kill you (not really, but it’s gross).
Patrick Reed – $8,000 – 76 Points – I’m gonna keep this short and sweet for you people: Patrick Reed. He Sucks right now. Not checking boxes. Still projected at over 10% ownership and rising. Fade. Write Up Done. Bome.