After a few amazing weeks off to compete in the TopGolf Tour finals in Vegas… Unfortunately not being crowned champions, losing a little in the casino’s and returning home with a broken laptop.
I’m finally back into the swing of things and providing you with a well researched preview for this weeks European Tour event in Holland,. All in hope I can recoup some of those losses and help everyone share in the success i normally experience this side of the pond.
Course/Event Preview & Key Stats
Venue – The International. (New venue)
Location – Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Style – Very exposed and littered with an abundance of water and bunkers.
Par – 73
Yardage – 6,966
Architect – Ian Woosnam (2012)
Event – This will be the 100th staging of the Dutch Open (first played in 1912). Incidentally the events current, long standing sponsors KLM Airlines are also celebrating their centenary year… With both the event and sponsors celebrating milestone achievements we can expect this year to be a very special showing of what has always been a very well put together event.
Greens: Bentgrass, with an expected tournament speed of 10.5′
Fairways: Very generous in width and undulating.
Rough: Long and thick in places
Previous winners and runners up:
Birdie or better conversion – As always with DraftKings its all about scoring points. With 5 very get-able par 5’s and a handful of risk/reward par 4’s on offer this will be my priority focus this week.
Short Knockers or Bombers – The course length and exposed layout would certainly suggest that this is more of a strategic course. However, with the relatively benign conditions, I am expecting the bombers to take full advantage of scoring and even though they may make the odd mistake out there, it can be rectified through creating easier birdie chances.
Approach play – The greens here are relatively generous in size, but as with all layouts like this its more about hitting the right portion of the green.. In particular I will be looking at proximity to hole, especially with mid to short irons in hand.
Course Form and Recent Form – With this being a new venue for the entire filed under competitive conditions, we have very little to go on other than similar style layout courses… Recent form on the other hand i certainly will factor in and approaching this event there are a good number that have been knocking on the door for that over-due European Tour win.
Race 2 Dubai or keeping a tour card – As we come towards the tail end of the season there is so much more to play for other than the title of KLM Open winner 2019.. When it comes down to the crunch there are a select few that seem to find that extra gear at the right time, whilst others melt away and run the risk of having to earn their spot through qualification to compete at the top next season.
European Tour DraftKings Picks
- Thomas Pieters $11,100 – The big bombing, club snapping super star from Belgium has finally started to show form more relative to his potential. A fantastic win only a few weeks back at the Czech has been followed up with two more solid performances.. the layout of this course should present lots of scoring opportunities and even if he doesn’t pick up the win this week I fully expect him to be amongst the top point scorers.
Mike Lorenzo-Vera $9,600 – Moving a little away from the bigger hitting aspect, but replaced with an all round game to die for and solid form to match.. Plays exceptionally well on these exposed layouts, regardless if the wind is up or not.
Thomas Detry $9,200 – Yet to pick up a win but been constantly knocking on the door. A game so very well suited to playing here and with the all round game he processes we can expect plenty of scoring chances and the added bonus of reduced risk of making big errors.
Romaine Langasque $8,400 – Always a tough player to get right and very much blows hot or cold. Showed some very promising signs in his last outing and a weeks rest should allow him to come into this event feeling fresher. Hopefully I have matched his stats and get lucky with the timing, if everything falls in place we could get lower ownership and big points on the board.
Victor Perez $8,200 – A bit like Romaine, Victor on the right week can really get things going and although we have little to go on as to how the course will really play in these conditions.. Looking at the layout and players that surround him on DraftKings pricing structure. I feel an edge can be gained here and a player im willing to take that gamble on.
Ashley Chesters $7,700 – Again moving away from the bigger hitting model, I have gone with Ashley to add a little stability in some line-ups. Coming off the back of a top ten on a course that shouldn’t of necessarily suited his game was very impressive work last week and once again I have no doubt he will be hungry to back up that good week with another and pushing him higher up the R2D rankings than the precarious 109th position he sits in right now.
Zander Lombard $7,400 – Playing some very nice golf right now and having by far his best year to date in most stat categories. Zanders a great ball striker and has the option to send it miles off the tee. His secret weapon however, is his 2 iron and on a course where he can utilise to this to its full extent, should in theory very much suit him and hopefully result in yet another solid performance.
- Jack Singh Brar $7,000 – This super talented player with an abundance of unlocked potential has made his last 7 consecutive cuts and is now starting to find his feet on the bigger stage. Very capable of posting low numbers and scoring big and on a layout like this and chance to score well I think at this price could be incredible value.
Marco Penge $6,500 – Not a player you may not all be familiar with but a name your all going to know in the future. Has been playing simply stunning golf this year on satellite tours, breaking course records left, right and centre. Contending most weeks and scoring incredibly well… Long off the tee and superb with the short stick. As long as the occasion and step up doesn’t throw him off form I certainly wouldn’t be surprised if he gets himself in the mix.
- Other inclusions in player pool – Gavin Green, Edoardo Molinari, Antoine Rozner, Kristoffer Reitan.
European Tour Betting Tips
- Thomas Pieters, 12/1, 1 point e/w
- Mike Lorenzo-Vera 16/1, 1 point e/w
- Thomas Detry, 18/1, 1 point e/w
- Marco Penge, 250/1, 1/2 point e/w
First Round Leader
- Thomas Pieters, 22/1, 1 point e/w
- Gavin Green, 33/1, 1 point e/w
- Marco Penge, 175/1, 1 point e/w
Challenge Tour Betting Tips
- Richard Mansell, 30/1, 1 point e/w
- Matt Ford, 90/1, 1 point e/w