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2020 Dubai Desert Classic – DraftKings Picks and Betting Tips


Venue – Majlis Course, Emirates GC.
Location – Dubai, UAE.
Style – Desert
Par – 72
Yardage – 7,353
Architect –  Litten, 1998
Event – Dubai Desert Classic.

Greens: Bermuda. Running at around 13 on the stimp reading, relatively flat but considered as some of the best surfaces the players will experience all year.

Fairways: Bermuda/Rye. Presented to spectacular standards, players will be very unlucky to find a bad lie here. The key note here is hole shape. There are plenty of doglegs on this course so in order to find the short stuff its gonna demand strategical play and accuracy to find them.

Rough and Beyond: Bermuda/Rye. With a course presented to this standard the rough is consistent and far more predictable. Beyond that its desert, rocks, palm trees and bushes and a good handful of water hazards to catch any bad shots.

Key Stats:

Off the Tee – As mentioned above it will be more of a tactical and strategic approach required for this weeks test. Many of the holes have doglegs and positional play rather than power is required.

Approach Play – The standard stat not only in past winning performance but in most top 10 performances is the frequency of finding greens. This course is a ball strikers paradise and when studying past events a very obvious trend is displayed.

Scrambling –  Hoping my picks this week ill be walking towards the greens with a putter in hand rather than contemplating hat wedge to use. To be fair missing greens here isn’t a disaster and all stats certainly suggest this part of the game doesn’t have to be on point to post good scores.

Putting – Some of the best surfaces on the tour circuit, relatively flat and obvious with break. A big benefit maybe to those that don’t display the best performances week to week… Great chance for someone like Paul waring.

Course Form and Recent Form – Always factored in and no different this week.

Other Factors Considered – Weather, this is an exposed desert course and can be very susspetable to desert winds. What half of the draw has played a huge role here in previous years and something i will be checking for as close to lock as possible.

European Tour DraftKings Picks
$10,000 +

Sergio Garcia $10,200 – I have a little exposure of all four players in this section and near on impossible to choose one. However, the player I am utilizing most is Sergio. This is predominately influenced by price as I look to find a little balance in my line ups. I also love the fact that he ticks a tonne of boxes and right now Sergio is in a situation where he has to showcase himself in the best possible light and prove his performance capabilities.

$9,000 – $10,000

Lee Westwood $9,400 – Straight off the back of a win is always a bit of a gamble but the way Lee plays and how well he is swinging is ideal for another superb performance and at a venue you could argue that he’s owed a win.

Victor Perez $9,300 – Form as strong as anyone in the field with 2 runner up placings a 4th and 20th in his last 4 starts. Will only be his second showing in this event, however his debut attempt resulted in a placing of 29th and a good sign that with his current game he can contend again this week.

$8,000 – $9,000

Rafa Cabrera-Bello $8,900 – Rafa played a lot of solid golf last week and put himself in contention coming into the final round. Unfortunately not to be and narrowly missing out on a top ten, he arrives in Dubai where he has tasted victory in 2012 and contended for another win in his last 3 visits.

Martin Kaymer $8,800 – Gonna keep this one simple. 4 top 5’s in 10 starts here + Top 10 last week = Top 10 this week.

Paul Waring $8,300 – Throughout a huge proportion of 2019 Paul was one of the top performs in G.I.R and moving into this new decade starting with a 12th place finish last week I am confident he will continue that trend. One of the key contributors to good scoring on the Majlis Course is hitting greens, it helped him place 3rd last year and will want a repeat performance as he hunts down a top 50 world ranking.

$7,500 – $8,000

Matthias Schwab $8,000 – Very reliable player and very reliable cash pick, has all the skill sets to compete with the elite in this field… Famous last words we should at least be guaranteed with this pick 4 rounds of golf with solid scoring relative to pricing.

Andy Sullivan $7,900 – Love the style of play, love the course history. more importantly love that he’s enjoying his golf and performing well of late.

$7,000 – $7,500

Renato Paratore $7,400 – Ticking a lot of boxes, displaying solid form and posting some low numbers. If he keeps playing the way he can it wont be long until he strings 4 together and grabs a victory.

Jason Scrivener $7,400 – The ownership back up plan to Paratore. I would expect with the recent attention Renato has been getting, his ownership will be somewhat higher. Whereas in Scrivener we have a player who WD 2 events ago, came back last week and only placed 59th.. No doubt less popular but comfortably as capable of anyone of adding another top 10 to the 2 he has captured in the last two years playing here.

$6,000 – $7,000

Jack Singh-Brar $6,600 – This kid is a superstar in the making and gaining experience all the time. Now looking comfortable competing at the top level we are starting to see more and more solid performances. Last week was another fine example of this, placing 12th in a strong field. This course should suit his game better and hopefully this low priced pick pays off with a top 10.

Nino Bertasio $6,400 – Another player at exceptional value and very capable on a course like this to sore very well. The bookies don’t see him winning this at 350/1 off the back of a missed cut and nor do I, however it was only 2 weeks ago we saw Nino place 15th and feature throughout the week.

Other players featured in my line ups.

Tommy Fleetwood, Louis Oosthuizen, Matt Fitzpatrick, Jaz Janewattananond, Thomas Detry and Shaun Norris.

European Tour Betting Tips

Outright Market

Sergio Garcia. 20/1

Paul Waring 50/1

Renato Paratore 125/1

First Round Leader

Sergio Garcia 29/1

Shaun Norris 80/1

Nino Bertasio 200/1

Junkie Jargon

Ever catch yourself wondering what in the world the guys are talking about? The Junkie Jargon glossary lays it all out for you.


To select a player who doesn’t provide great value, i.e. a high $/point; reaches typically result in -EV (negative expected value) situations.