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148th Open Championship 2019 – Royal Portrush

Course/Event Preview & Key Stats


Venue –Royal Portrush Golf Club

Location – Portrush, Northern Ireland

Style – Links

Par – 71

Yardage – 7,334

Architect – Harry Colt

Event – 148th staging of The Open Championship (2nd time at Royal Portrush, last hosted 68 years ago)…

Prior Relevant Events Held – 2012 Irish Open (Winner, Jamie Donaldson -18, Runners Up Rafa Cabrera Bello and Fabrizio Zanotti -14)

Key Stats – Current Form, Major form, Links Form/Course Fit, Overall Driving, Ball Striking, Scrambling.

The most important thing to note about Open Championship courses set up by the R&A is that they want to test all areas of the game.

Even though it appears scoring will be considerably better with the forecasted weather this course design on the Dunluce Links at Royal Portrush will still put the players skills to the test and only those that hit fairways and find the right places on these undulating and demanding greens will perform well.

The get out of jail free card with an outstanding short-game will no doubt help those that miss their targets. However, the design of these greens, most considerably elevated with devastating drop offs will put those facets under a massive amount of strain… Simply put even those with the touch and imagination like Seve will still struggle to recover if missing greens in the wrong spot.

Weather


As with any Coastal Links course and probably more so on the very most northern coast of Ireland its going to be essential that you keep a very close eye on what the weathers doing in order to take advantage of any preferable tee wave, that may exist. Things can change at a moments notice and this part of the world is renowned for experiencing all four seasons in just the one day.

The forecast for the tournament and the weather experienced prior to the event looks ideal for good scoring.

There doesn’t appear to be much of a significant advantage by being either side of the draw… The only tee times i may potentially avoid and this is not weather related are those teeing off very late on either Thursday or Friday. (The late players will have to deal with a lot of background noise as clean up process take place to get the venue ready for spectators attending the following day)

 

THURSDAY
9am
10am
11am
12pm
1pm
2pm
3pm
4pm
Forecast Partly Cloudy Partly Cloudy Partly Cloudy Showers Partly Cloudy Partly Cloudy Showers Partly Cloudy
Temp (°C) 15° 16° 16° 17° 17° 17° 17° 17°
RealFeel® 14° 15° 17° 16° 18° 19° 14° 15°
Wind (km/h) 18 WSW 18 WSW 20 WSW 20 W 20 W 20 W 20 WNW 22 WNW
PRECIP
9am
10am
11am
12pm
1pm
2pm
3pm
4pm
Rain

18%

23%

47%

51%

47%

49%

54%

46%

FRIDAY
9am
10am
11am
12pm
1pm
2pm
3pm
4pm
Forecast Cloudy Showers Cloudy Showers Cloudy Showers Showers Cloudy
Temp (°C) 14° 15° 16° 16° 17° 17° 18° 17°
RealFeel® 14° 14° 17° 16° 18° 16° 16° 17°
Wind (km/h) 11 S 11 S 11 S 9 S 9 SSE 9 SSE 11 S 13 S
PRECIP
9am
10am
11am
12pm
1pm
2pm
3pm
4pm
Rain

47%

51%

43%

51%

43%

56%

56%

49%

SATURDAY
9am
10am
11am
12pm
1pm
2pm
3pm
4pm
Forecast Showers Cloudy Mostly Cloudy Mostly Cloudy Mostly Cloudy Mostly Cloudy Showers Showers
Temp (°C) 15° 15° 15° 16° 16° 16° 16° 16°
RealFeel® 13° 15° 15° 16° 16° 18° 16° 15°
Wind (km/h) 9 NW 11 NW 13 NW 13 NW 15 NW 15 NW 15 NW 15 NW
PRECIP
9am
10am
11am
12pm
1pm
2pm
3pm
4pm
Rain

51%

47%

32%

32%

35%

44%

48%

48%

Open Championship DraftKings Picks


 
  • Jon Rahm $10,600 – With two wins in three years on Irish soil (2019 and 2017 Irish Open). Three times within the top ten in the last 4 majors and coming into this event with sensational form. I feel this is the right time, place and course for Rambo to shine and pick up his first of many major titles.
  • Justin Rose $9,900 – If Royal Portrush plays as everyone is suggesting/expecting, its going to require all elements of the game to be firing then I am more than happy to get behind Rosey this week. The ultimate professional, with very few weaknesses in the game and an abundance of experience to assist. Many of my cash line ups will start here and rightly so when offered at this great value.
  • Patrick Cantlay $9,000 – Even though I find his style of play hugely frustrating to watch, I must admit I think that extremely purposeful and heavily considered approach along with the unbelievable golfing talent to be a superb combination for performing well in Majors. I expect his ownership to be high but with as many boxes as he ticks its hard to pivot elsewhere and then possibly miss out on what’s important most… Scoring DraftKings Points.
  • Adam Scott $8,800 – The perfect swing, the perfect temperament…. The perfect fit for major golf and the perfect fit for this week. Surely got to be a contender come Sunday and I for one would not be surprised to see Adam Scott named Champion Golfer of the Year.
  • Henrik Stenson $8,400 – I couldn’t look at a stat model that’s focused around ball striking and not immediately think of the ‘Ice Man’ as a first choice. His game has well and truly been trending in the right direction, his game looking as solid as ever and if he can somehow get that short stick hot he has every chance of lifting that Claret Jug again.
  • Matthew Fitzpatrick $7,600 – If hitting fairways and greens for fun is the perfect combination for success, I expect Fitzy to be amongst the top performers this week in these categories and consequently in with one of the best chances in the mid/low price range to break in to the top 10. Other than a blip at Valderamma Matts form has been very good. Almost bagged a top 10 in the US open, the following week in Germany placed 2nd and only last week placed 14th in the Scottish.
  • Rafa Cabrera Bello $7,500 – Another player in exceptional form and looking to grab a much deserved win for his efforts. Could it be the big one for Rafa… Its certainly a tall ask but certainly not out the question. I love the fact that he’s had 3 b2b top tens with the last two coming in the Irish and Scottish Opens (Links Courses). As im sure your already aware by now as well there is plenty of positivity at this venue for him to look back on after managing to get to -14 in the 2012 Irish Open that earned him a share for 2nd that year (The course may of changed a bit, but not so much that its going to be a different test)
  • Bernd Wiesberger $7,100 – In so many ways I really wish Bernd had not performed as well as he has in the last two weeks, his ownership especially at his price could be massively high.. However last weeks win at the Scottish Open and the 2nd place finish in the Irish Open cant be ignored and a player in this kind of form whilst playing links golf could so easily continue his trend and throw in yet another stellar performance.. With Jamie Lane on the bag (one of the best green reading caddies out there) this team surely gain a stroke or two just with the advantage on the putting surfaces and Bernds solid game form tee to green keeps risk of blowouts to a minimum.
  • Paul Waring $6,600 – If you are a regular reader of this blog you will know that I have been on ‘The Bif’ for the Majority of the season and it has served us extremely well all year. Outstanding game off the tee and having one of the best ball striking years he’s had so far.. Full of confidence and riding a wave of success. If he gets the putter working to its full capability, we could easily get lower ownership and great points of someone who may be somewhat lesser known to everyone else dipping into what is essential a European Tour event.
  • Oliver Wilson $6,400 – I can see a lot of ownership at this price heading towards Joel Dahmen or possibly even Justin Harding. However in my opinion links golf is far better suited to the style of play that Oli offers.. I even love the fact that if Oli doesn’t want to miss his tee shot left he’s more than happy to hit it off the deck and let a low bullet chase down the fairway.. A really tidy performance at Lahinch in Ireland two weeks ago also peaks my interest and although he’s going to have to perform out of skin to contend his game still has that potential to not only perform well but score well in your line ups.
  • Nino Bertasio $6,100 – If your going top heavy in your line ups and need to look right towards the bottom of the page this is most certainly the play I feel most comfortable taking a risk on. A game that has been trending in a positive direction, so much so that it earned him a 4eth place finish in last weeks Scottish Open that incidentally earned him a start at this weeks Open Championship. Known for his accuracy, this player when in form, generally tends to stay there for weeks on end.
  • Other Inclusions in Player Pool – Paul Casey $8,300, Web Simpson $7,600, Mike Lorenzo-Vera $7,000, Andy Sullivan $7,000, Andrea Pavan $6,400

The Open Championship Betting Tips


Outright Market
  • Jon Rahm, 16/1, 1 point e/w
  • Adam Scott, 28/1, 1 point e/w
  • Bernd Wiesberger 66/1, 1 point e/w
  • Mike Lorenzo-Vera 200/1, 1 point e/w
  • Paul Waring, 300/1, 1 point e/w
First Round Leader
  • Jon Rahm, 29/1, 1 point e/w
  • Henrik Stenson 40/1, 1 point e/w
  • Andrea Pavan 175/1, 1 point e/w

Junkie Jargon

Ever catch yourself wondering what in the world the guys are talking about? The Junkie Jargon glossary lays it all out for you.

Single–Entry GPP

Large field tournament that only allows one entry team per player.